California Proposition 50 General Ballot Test

If the election for California Proposition 50, the temporary redistricting amendment, were being held today, what would voters choose?

Populations in this average

LV

An adult identifed as registered and likely to vote in an upcoming election by a pollster.

RV

An adult identified as registered to vote by a pollster.

Adults

Anyone 18 years of age or older.

Yes

57.0%

No

37.5%

Show Confidence Interval

Estimate

90% of polls fall in this range

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11 polls included in this average.

Field Dates Sample Pollster/Sponsor Result
Oct 20 – 27 4,946 LV University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies

Yes

60.0%

38.0%

No

Yes +22
Oct 16 – 21 1,497 LV YouGov / CBS News

Yes

62.0%

38.0%

No

Yes +24
Oct 20 – 21 900 RV Emerson College

Yes

57.5%

36.8%

No

Yes +20.7
Oct 7 – 14 939 LV Ipsos / Public Policy Institute of California

Yes

56.0%

43.0%

No

Yes +13
Sep 29 – Oct 1 1,000 LV co/efficient

Yes

54.0%

36.0%

No

Yes +18
Sep 15 – 16 1,000 RV Emerson College

Yes

50.6%

34.1%

No

Yes +16.5
Aug 26 – Sep 3 484 RV Noble Predictive Insights / Common Cause

Yes

54.0%

31.0%

No

Yes +23
Aug 25 – 27 600 LV Harper Polling / United States Justice Foundation

Yes

54.0%

29.0%

No

Yes +25
Aug 11 – 17 4,950 RV University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies / Los Angeles Times

Yes

48.0%

32.0%

No

Yes +16
Aug 10 – 14 1,000 LV David Binder Research / Gavin Newsom

Yes

57.0%

35.0%

No

Yes +22

= Internal poll

Internal polls from the same candidate are averaged together and weighted as no more than 1 poll in our average.

Read our methodology.