New York City Mayor General Ballot Test

If the election for New York City Mayor were being held today, who would voters choose?

Populations in this average

LV

An adult identifed as registered and likely to vote in an upcoming election by a pollster.

RV

An adult identified as registered to vote by a pollster.

Adults

Anyone 18 years of age or older.

Mamdani

44.4%

Cuomo

33.7%

Sliwa

18.0%

Walden

-

Adams*

-

Show Confidence Interval

Estimate

90% of polls fall in this range

* = Incumbent

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40 polls included in this average.

Field Dates Sample Pollster/Sponsor Result
Oct 31 – Nov 2 2,404 LV AtlasIntel

43.9%

Zohran Mamdani

39.4%

Andrew Cuomo

15.5%

Curtis Sliwa

Zohran Mamdani +4.5
Oct 25 – 30 1,587 LV AtlasIntel

40.6%

Zohran Mamdani

34.0%

Andrew Cuomo

24.1%

Curtis Sliwa

Zohran Mamdani +6.6
Oct 24 – 28 792 LV Marist College

48.0%

Zohran Mamdani

32.0%

Andrew Cuomo

16.0%

Curtis Sliwa

Zohran Mamdani +16
Oct 24 – 28 1,019 RV Marist College

46.0%

Zohran Mamdani

32.0%

Andrew Cuomo

16.0%

Curtis Sliwa

Zohran Mamdani +14
Oct 24 – 28 971 LV Beacon Research / Shaw & Company Research / Fox News

47.0%

Zohran Mamdani

31.0%

Andrew Cuomo

15.0%

Curtis Sliwa

Zohran Mamdani +16
Oct 24 – 28 1,107 RV Beacon Research / Shaw & Company Research / Fox News

45.0%

Zohran Mamdani

31.0%

Andrew Cuomo

15.0%

Curtis Sliwa

Zohran Mamdani +14
Oct 23 – 27 911 LV Quinnipiac University

43.0%

Zohran Mamdani

33.0%

Andrew Cuomo

14.0%

Curtis Sliwa

Zohran Mamdani +10
Oct 25 – 27 640 LV Emerson College / Nexstar

49.6%

Zohran Mamdani

25.3%

Andrew Cuomo

20.8%

Curtis Sliwa

Zohran Mamdani +24.3
Oct 23 – 26 500 LV Suffolk University

43.8%

Zohran Mamdani

33.6%

Andrew Cuomo

10.6%

Curtis Sliwa

Zohran Mamdani +10.2
Oct 22 – 26 600 LV Manhattan Institute

43.0%

Zohran Mamdani

28.0%

Andrew Cuomo

19.0%

Curtis Sliwa

Zohran Mamdani +15

= Internal poll

Internal polls from the same candidate are averaged together and weighted as no more than 1 poll in our average.

Read our methodology.