Virginia Governor General Ballot Test

If the election for Virginia Governor were being held today, who would voters choose?

Populations in this average

LV

An adult identifed as registered and likely to vote in an upcoming election by a pollster.

RV

An adult identified as registered to vote by a pollster.

Adults

Anyone 18 years of age or older.

Spanberger

50.8%

Earle-Sears

43.2%

Show Confidence Interval

Estimate

90% of polls fall in this range

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27 polls included in this average.

Field Dates Sample Pollster/Sponsor Result
Oct 7 – 8 558 RV Public Policy Polling / Democratic Governors Association

Abigail Spanberger

52.0%

43.0%

Winsome Earle-Sears

Abigail Spanberger +9
Sep 29 – Oct 2 805 LV Christopher Newport University Wason Center for Civic Leadership

Abigail Spanberger

52.0%

42.0%

Winsome Earle-Sears

Abigail Spanberger +10
Sep 29 – Oct 1 1,034 LV Trafalgar Group

Abigail Spanberger

47.1%

41.9%

Winsome Earle-Sears

Abigail Spanberger +5.2
Sep 28 – 29 725 LV Emerson College / The Hill

Abigail Spanberger

51.9%

42.0%

Winsome Earle-Sears

Abigail Spanberger +9.9
Sep 25 – 29 1,002 LV George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government / The Washington Post

Abigail Spanberger

55.0%

43.0%

Winsome Earle-Sears

Abigail Spanberger +12
Sep 25 – 29 1,002 RV George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government / The Washington Post

Abigail Spanberger

53.0%

40.0%

Winsome Earle-Sears

Abigail Spanberger +13
Sep 26 – 28 771 LV A2 Insights

Abigail Spanberger

47.7%

44.6%

Winsome Earle-Sears

Abigail Spanberger +3.1
Sep 22 – 23 1,024 LV co/efficient

Abigail Spanberger

49.0%

43.0%

Winsome Earle-Sears

Abigail Spanberger +6
Sep 15 – 18 800 LV OnMessage Inc.

Abigail Spanberger

50.0%

45.0%

Winsome Earle-Sears

Abigail Spanberger +5
Sep 8 – 14 808 LV Christopher Newport University Wason Center for Civic Leadership

Abigail Spanberger

52.0%

40.0%

Winsome Earle-Sears

Abigail Spanberger +12

= Internal poll

Internal polls from the same candidate are averaged together and weighted as no more than 1 poll in our average.

Read our methodology.