Virginia Governor General Ballot Test

If the election for Virginia Governor were being held today, who would voters choose?

Populations in this average

LV

An adult identifed as registered and likely to vote in an upcoming election by a pollster.

RV

An adult identified as registered to vote by a pollster.

Adults

Anyone 18 years of age or older.

Spanberger

45.3%

Earle-Sears

36.5%

10 polls included in this average.

Field Dates	Sample	Pollster/Sponsor		Result
Aug 11 – 15	602 LV	Roanoke College Institute for Policy and Opinion Research	Abigail Spanberger 46.0% 39.0% Winsome Earle-Sears	Abigail Spanberger +7
Jun 19 – Jul 3	764 RV	Virginia Commonwealth University L. Douglas Wilder School of Government and Public Affairs	Abigail Spanberger 49.0% 37.0% Winsome Earle-Sears	Abigail Spanberger +12
May 12 – 19	612 RV	Roanoke College Institute for Policy and Opinion Research	Abigail Spanberger 43.0% 26.0% Winsome Earle-Sears	Abigail Spanberger +17
May 9 – 13	1,000 LV	HarrisX / Virginia FREE	Abigail Spanberger 52.0% 48.0% Winsome Earle-Sears	Abigail Spanberger +4
Feb 26 – 27	600 LV	Cygnal	Abigail Spanberger 46.0% 40.0% Winsome Earle-Sears	Abigail Spanberger +6
Feb 17 – 20	593 RV	Roanoke College Institute for Policy and Opinion Research	Abigail Spanberger 39.0% 24.0% Winsome Earle-Sears	Abigail Spanberger +15
Jan 18 – 20	867 LV	co/efficient	Abigail Spanberger 40.0% 40.0% Winsome Earle-Sears	TIE
Dec 18, 2024 – Jan 15, 2025	806 Adults	Virginia Commonwealth University L. Douglas Wilder School of Government and Public Affairs	Abigail Spanberger 44.0% 34.0% Winsome Earle-Sears	Abigail Spanberger +10
Jan 6 – 13	806 RV	Christopher Newport University Wason Center for Civic Leadership	Abigail Spanberger 44.0% 39.0% Winsome Earle-Sears	Abigail Spanberger +5
Jan 6 – 8	1,000 RV	Emerson College / The Hill	Abigail Spanberger 41.8% 41.0% Winsome Earle-Sears	Abigail Spanberger +0.8

Read our methodology.