Virginia Governor General Ballot Test

If the election for Virginia Governor were being held today, who would voters choose?

Populations in this average

An adult identifed as registered and likely to vote in an upcoming election by a pollster.

An adult identified as registered to vote by a pollster.

Adults

Anyone 18 years of age or older.

Spanberger

49.2%

Earle-Sears

44.7%

Show Confidence Interval

Estimate

90% of polls fall in this range

Field Dates	Sample	Pollster/Sponsor		Result
Oct 13 – 15	1,039 LV	InsiderAdvantage / Trafalgar Group	Abigail Spanberger 47.5% 45.3% Winsome Earle-Sears	Abigail Spanberger +2.2

Oct 8 – 10	1,066 LV	Trafalgar Group	Abigail Spanberger 47.7% 45.1% Winsome Earle-Sears	Abigail Spanberger +2.6

Oct 7 – 8	558 RV	Public Policy Polling / Democratic Governors Association	Abigail Spanberger 52.0% 43.0% Winsome Earle-Sears	Abigail Spanberger +9

Oct 6 – 7	600 LV	Cygnal / Republican Attorneys General Association	Abigail Spanberger 49.2% 45.2% Winsome Earle-Sears	Abigail Spanberger +4

Sep 29 – Oct 2	805 LV	Christopher Newport University Wason Center for Civic Leadership	Abigail Spanberger 52.0% 42.0% Winsome Earle-Sears	Abigail Spanberger +10

Sep 29 – Oct 1	1,034 LV	Trafalgar Group	Abigail Spanberger 47.1% 41.9% Winsome Earle-Sears	Abigail Spanberger +5.2

Sep 28 – 29	725 LV	Emerson College / The Hill	Abigail Spanberger 51.9% 42.0% Winsome Earle-Sears	Abigail Spanberger +9.9

Sep 25 – 29	1,002 LV	George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government / The Washington Post	Abigail Spanberger 55.0% 43.0% Winsome Earle-Sears	Abigail Spanberger +12

Sep 25 – 29	1,002 RV	George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government / The Washington Post	Abigail Spanberger 53.0% 40.0% Winsome Earle-Sears	Abigail Spanberger +13

Sep 26 – 28	771 LV	A2 Insights	Abigail Spanberger 47.7% 44.6% Winsome Earle-Sears	Abigail Spanberger +3.1

= Internal poll

Internal polls from the same candidate are averaged together and weighted as no more than 1 poll in our average.