California Governor Primary Ballot Test

If the election for California Governor were being held today, who would voters choose?

Populations in this average

An adult identifed as registered and likely to vote in an upcoming election by a pollster.

An adult identified as registered to vote by a pollster.

Adults

Anyone 18 years of age or older.

Steve Hilton

17.3%

Chad Bianco

13.6%

Eric Swalwell

13.4%

Tom Steyer

11.5%

Katie Porter

10.6%

Xavier Becerra

3.9%

Antonio Villaraigosa

3.2%

Matt Mahan

3.1%

Show Confidence Interval

Estimate

90% of polls fall in this range

21 polls included in this average.

Field Dates	Sample	Pollster/Sponsor		Result
Mar 12 – 17	2,000 LV	Evitarus / California Democratic Party	15.0% Steve Hilton 13.0% Chad Bianco 9.0% Eric Swalwell 8.0% Katie Porter 7.0% Tom Steyer 3.0% Xavier Becerra 3.0% Antonio Villaraigosa	Steve Hilton +2

Mar 12 – 17	600 LV	Echelon Insights / Steve Hilton	20.0% Steve Hilton 15.0% Eric Swalwell 14.0% Chad Bianco 13.0% Tom Steyer 10.0% Katie Porter 3.0% Antonio Villaraigosa 3.0% Xavier Becerra	Steve Hilton +5

Mar 9 – 15	3,385 LV	University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies / Los Angeles Times	17.0% Steve Hilton 16.0% Chad Bianco 13.0% Eric Swalwell 13.0% Katie Porter 10.0% Tom Steyer 5.0% Xavier Becerra 4.0% Antonio Villaraigosa	Steve Hilton +1

Mar 7 – 9	1,000 LV	Emerson College / Inside California Politics	17.3% Eric Swalwell 13.3% Steve Hilton 11.4% Chad Bianco 10.9% Tom Steyer 8.4% Katie Porter 3.2% Antonio Villaraigosa 3.0% Xavier Becerra	Eric Swalwell +4

Feb 25 – Mar 3	1,004 LV	TrueDot / Politico / Citrin Center	19.0% Steve Hilton 13.0% Tom Steyer 11.0% Eric Swalwell 11.0% Chad Bianco 11.0% Katie Porter 5.0% Xavier Becerra 4.0% Antonio Villaraigosa	Steve Hilton +6

Feb 27 – Mar 2	800 LV	Global Strategy Group / Tom Steyer	20.0% Steve Hilton 16.0% Tom Steyer 15.0% Chad Bianco 13.0% Katie Porter 11.0% Eric Swalwell 5.0% Xavier Becerra 2.0% Antonio Villaraigosa	Steve Hilton +4

Feb 13 – 20	868 LV	Independent Voter Project	23.3% Chad Bianco 17.9% Eric Swalwell 14.9% Steve Hilton 12.4% Katie Porter 8.0% Tom Steyer 3.4% Xavier Becerra 2.8% Antonio Villaraigosa	Chad Bianco +5.4

Feb 13 – 14	1,000 RV	Emerson College / Nexstar	17.1% Steve Hilton 14.1% Eric Swalwell 13.5% Chad Bianco 9.8% Katie Porter 8.8% Tom Steyer 3.5% Xavier Becerra 2.8% Antonio Villaraigosa	Steve Hilton +3

Feb 3 – 11	1,030 LV	Ipsos / Public Policy Institute of California	14.0% Steve Hilton 13.0% Katie Porter 12.0% Chad Bianco 11.0% Eric Swalwell 10.0% Tom Steyer 5.0% Antonio Villaraigosa 5.0% Xavier Becerra	Steve Hilton +1

Feb 2 – 5	1,097 LV	Tavern Research / Xavier Becerra	20.0% Chad Bianco 12.0% Steve Hilton 10.0% Eric Swalwell 9.0% Tom Steyer 9.0% Katie Porter 6.0% Xavier Becerra 3.0% Antonio Villaraigosa	Chad Bianco +8

= Internal poll

Internal polls from the same candidate are averaged together and weighted as no more than 1 poll in our average.

Read our methodology.