Texas Senate Democratic Primary Ballot Test

If the DEM Primary for Texas Senate were being held today, who would voters vote for?

Populations in this average

LV

An adult identifed as registered and likely to vote in an upcoming election by a pollster.

RV

An adult identified as registered to vote by a pollster.

Adults

Anyone 18 years of age or older.

Independents

Self-identified Independent respondents

Democrats

Self-identified Democratic respondents

The average below is comprised of polling crosstabs for the noted subgroup. You can visit our methodology to learn more.

James Talarico

44.4%

Jasmine Crockett

44.1%

Show Confidence Interval

Estimate

90% of polls fall in this range

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12 polls included in this average.

Field Dates Sample Pollster/Sponsor Result
Feb 25 599 LV Public Policy Polling / Lone Star Rising PAC

James Talarico

48.0%

42.0%

Jasmine Crockett

James Talarico +6
Feb 23 – 24 472 LV Blueprint Polling

James Talarico

51.9%

40.0%

Jasmine Crockett

James Talarico +11.9
Feb 2 – 16 369 LV Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas at Austin / YouGov

Jasmine Crockett

56.0%

44.0%

James Talarico

Jasmine Crockett +12
Feb 10 – 12 800 LV Impact Research / James Talarico

James Talarico

47.0%

43.0%

Jasmine Crockett

James Talarico +4
Jan 20 – 31 550 LV University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs / YouGov

Jasmine Crockett

47.0%

39.0%

James Talarico

Jasmine Crockett +8
Jan 14 – 21 1,290 LV Slingshot Strategies / Texas Public Opinion Research

Jasmine Crockett

38.0%

37.0%

James Talarico

Jasmine Crockett +1
Jan 6 – 15 1,005 LV HIT Strategies / Jasmine Crockett

Jasmine Crockett

38.0%

26.0%

James Talarico

Jasmine Crockett +12
Jan 10 – 12 413 RV Emerson College / Nexstar

James Talarico

47.0%

37.6%

Jasmine Crockett

James Talarico +9.4
Jan 10 – 12 284 Democrats Emerson College / Nexstar

Jasmine Crockett

43.3%

42.3%

James Talarico

Jasmine Crockett +1
Jan 10 – 12 120 Independents Emerson College / Nexstar

James Talarico

55.8%

26.5%

Jasmine Crockett

James Talarico +29.3

= Internal poll

Internal polls from the same candidate are averaged together and weighted as no more than 1 poll in our average.

Read our methodology.