Texas Senate Republican Primary Ballot Test

If the GOP Primary for Texas Senate were being held today, who would Republicans vote for?

Populations in this average

Republicans

Self-identified Republican respondents

The average below is comprised of polling crosstabs for the noted subgroup. You can visit our methodology to learn more.

Ken Paxton

35.4%

John Cornyn

31.9%

Wesley Hunt

20.2%

Show Confidence Interval

Estimate

90% of polls fall in this range

* = Incumbent

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20 polls included in this average.

Field Dates Sample Pollster/Sponsor Result
Dec 14 – 17 809 Republicans Pulse Decision Science

38.0%

Ken Paxton

38.0%

John Cornyn

16.0%

Wesley Hunt

TIE
Dec 1 – 4 800 Republicans McLaughlin & Associates / Standing for Texas

33.0%

Ken Paxton

28.0%

Wesley Hunt

27.0%

John Cornyn

Ken Paxton +5
Dec 1 – 3 1,022 Republicans co/efficient

28.0%

John Cornyn

27.0%

Ken Paxton

19.0%

Wesley Hunt

John Cornyn +1
Dec 1 – 3 600 Republicans J.L. Partners

29.0%

Ken Paxton

24.0%

Wesley Hunt

24.0%

John Cornyn

Ken Paxton +5
Dec 1 – 2 527 Republicans Public Policy Polling / Senate Majority PAC

32.0%

Ken Paxton

22.0%

John Cornyn

22.0%

Wesley Hunt

Ken Paxton +10
Nov 20 – 25 600 Republicans Peak Insights / Texans for a Conservative Majority

35.0%

John Cornyn

33.0%

Ken Paxton

18.0%

Wesley Hunt

John Cornyn +2
Nov 21 – 22 857 Republicans Stratus Intelligence / Wesley Hunt

36.0%

Ken Paxton

26.0%

Wesley Hunt

25.0%

John Cornyn

Ken Paxton +10
Nov 13 – 16 758 Republicans Ragnar Research Partners / Senate Leadership Fund

32.0%

John Cornyn

31.0%

Ken Paxton

21.0%

Wesley Hunt

John Cornyn +1
Nov 4 – 6 811 Republicans Stratus Intelligence

30.0%

Ken Paxton

25.0%

John Cornyn

23.0%

Wesley Hunt

Ken Paxton +5
Oct 28 – 30 614 Republicans Harper Polling / Wesley Hunt

25.5%

John Cornyn

25.0%

Ken Paxton

23.6%

Wesley Hunt

John Cornyn +0.5

= Internal poll

Internal polls from the same candidate are averaged together and weighted as no more than 1 poll in our average.

Read our methodology.