Texas Senate Republican Primary Ballot Test

If the GOP Primary for Texas Senate were being held today, who would Republicans vote for?

Populations in this average

Republicans

Self-identified Republican respondents

The average below is comprised of polling crosstabs for the noted subgroup. You can visit our methodology to learn more.

Paxton

32.7%

Cornyn*

29.6%

Hunt

21.2%

Show Confidence Interval

Estimate

90% of polls fall in this range

* = Incumbent

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15 polls included in this average.

Field Dates Sample Pollster/Sponsor Result
Nov 20 – 25 600 Republicans Peak Insights / Texans for a Conservative Majority

35.0%

John Cornyn

33.0%

Ken Paxton

18.0%

Wesley Hunt

John Cornyn +2
Nov 21 – 22 857 Republicans Stratus Intelligence / Wesley Hunt

36.0%

Ken Paxton

26.0%

Wesley Hunt

25.0%

John Cornyn

Ken Paxton +10
Nov 13 – 16 758 Republicans Ragnar Research Partners / Senate Leadership Fund

32.0%

John Cornyn

31.0%

Ken Paxton

21.0%

Wesley Hunt

John Cornyn +1
Nov 4 – 6 811 Republicans Stratus Intelligence

30.0%

Ken Paxton

25.0%

John Cornyn

23.0%

Wesley Hunt

Ken Paxton +5
Oct 28 – 30 614 Republicans Harper Polling / Wesley Hunt

25.5%

John Cornyn

25.0%

Ken Paxton

23.6%

Wesley Hunt

John Cornyn +0.5
Oct 6 – 10 1,097 Republicans Hunt Research

24.7%

Ken Paxton

20.2%

John Cornyn

16.7%

Wesley Hunt

Ken Paxton +4.5
Sep 19 – Oct 1 576 Republicans Texas Southern University School of Public Affairs / University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs / YouGov

34.0%

Ken Paxton

33.0%

John Cornyn

22.0%

Wesley Hunt

Ken Paxton +1
Sep 22 – 28 1,142 Republicans Deep Root Analytics / Texans for a Conservative Majority

33.0%

John Cornyn

28.0%

Ken Paxton

21.0%

Wesley Hunt

John Cornyn +5
Sep 17 – 24 492 Republicans University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Research

31.0%

Ken Paxton

29.0%

John Cornyn

14.0%

Wesley Hunt

Ken Paxton +2
Sep 20 – 22 760 Republicans Ragnar Research Partners / One Nation

32.0%

John Cornyn

31.0%

Ken Paxton

17.0%

Wesley Hunt

John Cornyn +1

= Internal poll

Internal polls from the same candidate are averaged together and weighted as no more than 1 poll in our average.

Read our methodology.