Texas Senate Republican Primary Ballot Test

If the GOP Primary for Texas Senate were being held today, who would Texans vote for?

Populations in this average

Republicans

Self-identified Republican respondents

An adult identifed as registered and likely to vote in an upcoming election by a pollster.

An adult identified as registered to vote by a pollster.

Adults

Anyone 18 years of age or older.

Independents

Self-identified Independent respondents

The average below is comprised of polling crosstabs for the noted subgroup. You can visit our methodology to learn more.

Ken Paxton

38.90%

John Cornyn*

35.40%

Wesley Hunt

16.50%

Show Confidence Interval

Estimate

90% of polls fall in this range

* = Incumbent

Field Dates	Sample	Pollster/Sponsor		Result
Feb 26 – Mar 2	1,659 LV	YouGov	36.00% Ken Paxton 32.00% John Cornyn 17.00% Wesley Hunt	Ken Paxton +4

Feb 26 – Mar 2	1,221 Republicans	YouGov	37.00% Ken Paxton 33.00% John Cornyn 17.00% Wesley Hunt	Ken Paxton +4

Feb 26 – Mar 2	339 Independents	YouGov	34.00% Ken Paxton 31.00% John Cornyn 18.00% Wesley Hunt	Ken Paxton +3

Feb 26 – 27	547 LV	Emerson College / Nexstar	39.80% Ken Paxton 35.90% John Cornyn 16.50% Wesley Hunt	Ken Paxton +3.9

Feb 26 – 27	414 Republicans	Emerson College / Nexstar	40.90% Ken Paxton 36.80% John Cornyn 15.00% Wesley Hunt	Ken Paxton +4.1

Feb 26 – 27	130 Independents	Emerson College / Nexstar	37.30% Ken Paxton 33.20% John Cornyn 21.90% Wesley Hunt	Ken Paxton +4.1

Feb 25 – 26	939 LV	Quantus Insights	43.00% Ken Paxton 37.60% John Cornyn 15.70% Wesley Hunt	Ken Paxton +5.4

Feb 23 – 24	529 LV	Blueprint Polling / Chism Strategies	41.50% Ken Paxton 29.90% John Cornyn 13.60% Wesley Hunt	Ken Paxton +11.6

Feb 19 – 23	800 LV	Peak Insights / Texans for a Conservative Majority	36.00% John Cornyn 36.00% Ken Paxton 14.00% Wesley Hunt	TIE

Feb 13 – 22	445 LV	University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Research	41.00% John Cornyn 35.00% Ken Paxton 15.00% Wesley Hunt	John Cornyn +6

= Internal poll

Internal polls from the same candidate are averaged together and weighted as no more than 1 poll in our average.