Texas Senate Republican Primary Ballot Test

If the GOP Primary for Texas Senate were being held today, who would Texans vote for?

Populations in this average

Republicans

Self-identified Republican respondents

An adult identifed as registered and likely to vote in an upcoming election by a pollster.

An adult identified as registered to vote by a pollster.

Adults

Anyone 18 years of age or older.

Independents

Self-identified Independent respondents

The average below is comprised of polling crosstabs for the noted subgroup. You can visit our methodology to learn more.

Ken Paxton

31.9%

John Cornyn*

27.7%

Wesley Hunt

19.3%

Show Confidence Interval

Estimate

90% of polls fall in this range

* = Incumbent

Field Dates	Sample	Pollster/Sponsor		Result
Feb 8 – 11	800 LV	Pulse Decision Science / Ken Paxton	36.0% Ken Paxton 27.0% John Cornyn 15.0% Wesley Hunt	Ken Paxton +9

Feb 1 – 3	801 LV	Pulse Decision Science / Lone Star Liberty PAC	29.0% Ken Paxton 23.0% John Cornyn 15.0% Wesley Hunt	Ken Paxton +6

Jan 31 – Feb 2	600 LV	J.L. Partners	27.0% Ken Paxton 25.7% Wesley Hunt 25.5% John Cornyn	Ken Paxton +1.3

Jan 20 – 31	550 LV	University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs / YouGov	38.0% Ken Paxton 31.0% John Cornyn 17.0% Wesley Hunt	Ken Paxton +7

Jan 26 – 28	615 LV	Cygnal	25.7% Ken Paxton 25.1% Wesley Hunt 22.4% John Cornyn	Ken Paxton +0.6

Jan 10 – 12	550 RV	Emerson College / Nexstar	27.4% Ken Paxton 26.1% John Cornyn 15.7% Wesley Hunt	Ken Paxton +1.3

Jan 10 – 12	428 Republicans	Emerson College / Nexstar	29.8% Ken Paxton 26.4% John Cornyn 15.7% Wesley Hunt	Ken Paxton +3.4

Jan 10 – 12	113 Independents	Emerson College / Nexstar	24.9% John Cornyn 19.3% Ken Paxton 17.1% Wesley Hunt	John Cornyn +5.6

Dec 14 – 17	809 LV	Pulse Decision Science	38.0% Ken Paxton 38.0% John Cornyn 16.0% Wesley Hunt	TIE

Dec 1 – 4	800 Republicans	McLaughlin & Associates / Standing for Texas	33.0% Ken Paxton 28.0% Wesley Hunt 27.0% John Cornyn	Ken Paxton +5

= Internal poll

Internal polls from the same candidate are averaged together and weighted as no more than 1 poll in our average.