Texas Senate Republican Primary Ballot Test

If the GOP Primary for Texas Senate were being held today, who would Republicans vote for?

Populations in this average

Republicans

Self-identified Republican respondents

The average below is comprised of polling crosstabs for the noted subgroup. You can visit our methodology to learn more.

Cornyn*

41.5%

Paxton

39.5%

Show Confidence Interval

Estimate

90% of polls fall in this range

* = Incumbent

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15 polls included in this average.

Field Dates Sample Pollster/Sponsor Result
Sep 19 – Oct 1 576 Republicans University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs / Texas Southern University School of Public Affairs / YouGov

John Cornyn

44.0%

43.0%

Ken Paxton

John Cornyn +1
Sep 20 – 22 760 Republicans Ragnar Research Partners / One Nation

John Cornyn

39.0%

39.0%

Ken Paxton

TIE
Aug 27 – 29 320 Republicans Texas Public Opinion Research / Slingshot Strategies

John Cornyn

32.0%

26.0%

Ken Paxton

John Cornyn +6
Aug 25 – 27 818 Republicans co/efficient

Ken Paxton

39.0%

36.0%

John Cornyn

Ken Paxton +3
Aug 21 – 24 515 Republicans Echelon Insights

Ken Paxton

42.0%

37.0%

John Cornyn

Ken Paxton +5
Aug 6 – 12 1,500 Republicans Texas Southern University School of Public Affairs

Ken Paxton

44.0%

39.0%

John Cornyn

Ken Paxton +5
Jun 17 – 22 806 Republicans Pulse Decision Science

Ken Paxton

57.0%

38.0%

John Cornyn

Ken Paxton +19
Jun 6 – 8 600 Republicans Stratus Intelligence / Conservative Policy Project

Ken Paxton

49.0%

33.0%

John Cornyn

Ken Paxton +16
May 27 – 28 600 Republicans UpONE Insights / Educational Freedom Institute

Ken Paxton

50.0%

28.0%

John Cornyn

Ken Paxton +22
May 9 – 19 564 Republicans Texas Southern University School of Public Affairs / YouGov

Ken Paxton

43.0%

34.0%

John Cornyn

Ken Paxton +9

= Internal poll

Internal polls from the same candidate are averaged together and weighted as no more than 1 poll in our average.

Read our methodology.